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Serial interval of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infections

1160 Citations2020
Hiroshi Nishiura, Natalie M. Linton, Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov

The serial interval of COVID-19 is close to or shorter than its median incubation period, indicating that a substantial proportion of secondary transmission may occur prior to illness onset and that calculations made using the SARS serial interval may introduce bias.

Abstract

The serial interval of COVID-19 is close to or shorter than its median incubation period. This suggests that a substantial proportion of secondary transmission may occur prior to illness onset. The COVID-19 serial interval is also shorter than the serial interval of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), indicating that calculations made using the SARS serial interval may introduce bias.

Serial interval of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infections