In search of warmer climates: the impact of climate change on flows of British tourists.
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Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of climate change on the chosen destinations of British tourists. Destinations are characterised in terms of "attractors" including climate variables, travel and accommodation costs. These variables are used to explain the current observed pattern of overseas travel in terms of a model based upon the idea of utility maximisation. The approach permits the trade-offs between climate and holiday expenditure to be analysed and effectively identifies the "optimal" climate for generating tourism. The findings are used to predict the impact of various climate change scenarios on popular tourist destinations.