The Impact of By-elections on General Elections: England, 1950–87
British Journal of Political SciencePublished 1 January 1991
Graham Upton
Citations9
SJR quartileQ1
SJR score3.56
SNIP3.23
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Abstract
In his introduction to a definitive collection of articles on British by-elections, David Butler observed that by-elections ‘may offer some guide to the public mood; but who now would dare to give a figure for the likely difference between a by-election today and what would happen in an immediate general election?’
Keywords
Computer Science
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The paper focuses on data relating to parliamentary elections, and demonstrates that an analysis based on the use of transition matrices can be misleading, especially when based upon what is referred to as a ‘proportional loss’ model.
