Impact of adverse publicity on MMR vaccine uptake: a population based analysis of vaccine uptake records for one million children, born 1987-2004
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TL;DR
Increased measles susceptibility in nursery children is concerning, particularly in the most vulnerable areas, and increased susceptibility levels can be expected in primary schools in the future, as levels of late uptake are insufficient to compensate for underlying declines.
Abstract
Increased measles susceptibility in nursery children is concerning, particularly in the most vulnerable areas. These figures are likely to increase in the future, as MMR uptake has not yet returned to the previous higher level. Increased susceptibility levels can also be expected in primary schools in the future, as levels of late uptake are insufficient to compensate. Predicted figures for "final" MMR1 uptake are under the herd immunity threshold and campaigns may be required to increase uptake among future primary school children.
