Assessing precision in the manuscript review process: A little better than a dice roll
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TL;DR
The findings indicate that highly selective decision-making with imprecise reviewers results in outcomes that are only slightly better than chance.
Abstract
The credibility of the publication system in science is determined in large part by the precision of the manuscript review process. Studies on the precision of the review process in scientific journals have reported conflicting results. This paper reviews those studies and re-examines the data reported. The findings indicate that highly selective decision-making with imprecise reviewers results in outcomes that are only slightly better than chance.
