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Earlier Web usage statistics as predictors of later citation impact

Journal of the American Society for Information Science and TechnologyPublished 25 April 2006Open access
Tim Brody, Stevan Harnad, Leslie Carr
Citations396
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TL;DR

This paper analyses how short-term Web usage impact predicts medium-term citation impact and uses the physics e-print archive -- arXiv.org -- to test this.

Abstract

Abstract The use of citation counts to assess the impact of research articles is well established. However, the citation impact of an article can only be measured several years after it has been published. As research articles are increasingly accessed through the Web, the number of times an article is downloaded can be instantly recorded and counted. One would expect the number of times an article is read to be related both to the number of times it is cited and to how old the article is. The authors analyze how short‐term Web usage impact predicts medium‐term citation impact. The physics e‐print archive—arXiv.org—is used to test this.

Keywords

Computer ScienceDecision SciencesPhysics and Astronomy