Social security and fertility: An international perspective

It is shown that social security programs have a measureable negative effect on subsequent levels of fertility and appear to have as much of an independent impact on fertility as do the traditional correlates of fertility.

Abstract

A number of population scholars have asserted that social security programs such as old-age programs lead to decreased fertility levels because parents need not rely on children for "security" in old age. There is, however, a paucity of empirical data on the above. This paper analyzes 67 countries and shows that social security programs have a measurable negative effect on subsequent levels of fertility. In fact, the social security programs appear to have as much of an independent impact on fertility as do the traditional correlates of fertility (infant mortality, education and per capita income).