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Statistical Difficulties in Determining the Role of Race in Capital Cases: A Re-analysis of Data from the State of Maryland*

Journal of Quantitative CriminologyPublished 6 October 2005
Richard A. Berk, Azusa Li, Laura J. Hickman
Citations69
SJR quartileQ1
SJR score1.35
SNIP2.40

Abstract

In this paper, we re-analyze data used to study the role of race in capital cases in the state of Maryland. We show that when alternative, and arguably more appropriate, statistical procedures are applied, the racial effects reported in early work turn out to be very fragile. The methodological point is more general: conventional causal modeling with observational data is not likely to produce robust results for a variety of criminal justice applications.

Keywords

MathematicsEconomics, Econometrics and Finance