Domestic Heat Demand Prediction Using Neural Networks

The results of using neural networks techniques to predict the heat demand of individual households is presented, required to determine the electricity production capacity of the large fleet of microCHP appliances.

Abstract

By combining a cluster of microCHP appliances, a virtual power plant can be formed. To use such a virtual power plant, a good heat demand prediction of individual households is needed since the heat demand determines the production capacity. In this paper we present the results of using neural networks techniques to predict the heat demand of individual households. This prediction is required to determine the electricity production capacity of the large fleet of microCHP appliances. All predictions are short-term (for one day) and use historical heat demand and weather influences as input.