Social Media and the Elections
SciencePublished 25 October 2012
Panagiotis Metaxas, Eni Mustafaraj
Citations247
SJR quartileQ1
SJR score10.42
SNIP6.62
Generate an AI Snapshot to get a quick, structured summary of this paper.
Study Snapshot
ObjectiveStudy objective
MethodsResearch methodology
PopulationPopulation studied
Sample sizeSample sizes
OutcomesStudy outcomes here
ResultsStudy results comes here
LimitationsResearch study limitations comes here
A concise AI-generated summary of the paper will appear here once you click Generate AI Snapshot.
TL;DR
Monitoring what users share or search for in social media and on the Web has led to greater insights into what people care about or pay attention to at any moment in time, helping segments of the world population to be informed, to organize, and to react rapidly.
Abstract
Manipulation of social media affects perceptions of candidates and compromises decision-making.
Keywords
Social SciencesPhysics and Astronomy
Journal of Computational ScienceTwitter mood predicts the stock market
4,995 Citations2011Johan Bollen, Huina Mao +1 more
This work investigates whether measurements of collective mood states derived from large-scale Twitter feeds are correlated to the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) over time and indicates that the accuracy of DJIA predictions can be significantly improved by the inclusion of specific public mood dimensions but not others.
Computer NetworksGraph structure in the Web
2,760 Citations2000Andrei Broder, Ravi Kumar +6 more
The study of the web as a graph yields valuable insight into web algorithms for crawling, searching and community discovery, and the sociological phenomena which characterize its evolution.
Economic RecordPredicting the Present with Google Trends
2,304 Citations2012Hyunyoung Choi, Hal R. Varian
Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesPredicting consumer behavior with Web search
647 Citations2010Sharad Goel, Jake M. Hofman +3 more
This work uses search query volume to forecast the opening weekend box-office revenue for feature films, first-month sales of video games, and the rank of songs on the Billboard Hot 100 chart, finding in all cases that search counts are highly predictive of future outcomes.
SSRN Electronic JournalPredicting the Present with Google Trends
452 Citations2009Hal R. Varian, Hyunyoung Choi
Social Science Computer ReviewA Meta-Analysis of State-of-the-Art Electoral Prediction From Twitter Data
325 Citations2013Daniel Gayo-Avello
It is revealed that its presumed predictive power regarding electoral prediction has been somewhat exaggerated and further work on this topic is required, along with tighter integration with traditional electoral forecasting research.
How (Not) to Predict Elections
284 Citations2011Panagiotis Metaxas, Eni Mustafaraj +1 more
It is found that electoral predictions using the published research methods on Twitter data are not better than chance and a set of standards that any theory aiming to predict elections (or other social events) using social media should follow is proposed.
Social Science Computer ReviewWhy the Pirate Party Won the German Election of 2009 or The Trouble With Predictions: A Response to Tumasjan, A., Sprenger, T. O., Sander, P. G., & Welpe, I. M. “Predicting Elections With Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal About Political Sentiment”
271 Citations2011Andreas Jungherr, Pascal Jürgens +1 more
Vocal Minority Versus Silent Majority: Discovering the Opionions of the Long Tail
132 Citations2011Eni Mustafaraj, Samantha Finn +2 more
This paper presents results of data analysis that compares two groups of different users: the vocal minority ( users who tweet very often) and the silent majority (users who tweeted only once), and discovers that the content generated by these two groups is significantly different.
EPJ Data ScienceBeating the news using social media: the case study of American Idol
79 Citations2012Fabio Ciulla, Delia Mocanu +4 more
Although American Idol voting is just a minimal and simplified version of complex societal phenomena such as political elections, this work shows that the volume of information available in online systems permits the real time gathering of quantitative indicators that may be able to anticipate the future unfolding of opinion formation events.
Lecture notes in business information processingWeb Spam, Social Propaganda and the Evolution of Search Engine Rankings
18 Citations2010Panagiotis Metaxas
Search Engines have greatly influenced the way the authors experience the web since the early days of the web, and they have been evolving ever since, taking over the role that web directories used to play.
The Use of Online Videos in the 2008 U.S. Congressional Elections
8 Citations2009Eni Mustafaraj, Panagiotis Metaxas +1 more
An exploratory analysis of political online video data collected in the context of a broader project aimed at studying the effects of politically motivated spamming of webpages to manipulate their rankings within search engine results indicates that online video coverage might be susceptible to technological bias that adds to the political biascommon in electoral campaigns.
