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A methodological framework for the validation of predictive simulations

European Journal of Operational ResearchPublished 1 July 2000
Doug Fraedrich, Allen J. Goldberg
Citations47
SJR quartileQ1
SJR score2.24
SNIP2.62

TL;DR

A methodological framework for the validation of predictive simulations that synthesizes concepts from the fields of Conventional Model Verification and Validation, Testing of Scientific Theories, Design of Experiments, Error/Sensitivity, and Statistical Exploratory Data Analysis is presented.

Abstract

This paper presents a methodological framework for the validation of predictive simulations that synthesizes concepts from the fields of Conventional Model Verification and Validation, Testing of Scientific Theories, Design of Experiments, Error/Sensitivity, and Statistical Exploratory Data Analysis. This framework presents validation as a five-phase process that starts with the often overlooked phase `Is the simulation subject to validation?'. The remaining phases are: a priori tests, design and execution of experiment, comparison with predictions, and lastly simulation improvement.

Keywords

Decision Sciences