Longevity and Medicare Expenditures
New England Journal of MedicinePublished 13 April 1995
James Lubitz, James C. Beebe, Colin Baker
Citations248
SJR quartileQ1
SJR score19.08
SNIP13.47
Generate an AI Snapshot to get a quick, structured summary of this paper.
Study Snapshot
ObjectiveStudy objective
MethodsResearch methodology
PopulationPopulation studied
Sample sizeSample sizes
OutcomesStudy outcomes here
ResultsStudy results comes here
LimitationsResearch study limitations comes here
A concise AI-generated summary of the paper will appear here once you click Generate AI Snapshot.
TL;DR
The effect on Medicare spending of increased longevity beyond the age of 65 may not be great, but total Medicare payments will be more substantially affected by the expected increase in the absolute number of elderly people.
Abstract
The effect on Medicare spending of increased longevity beyond the age of 65 may not be great. Total Medicare payments will be more substantially affected by the expected increase in the absolute number of elderly people.
Keywords
Social SciencesHealth Professions
New England Journal of MedicineAging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity
3,307 Citations1980James F. Fries
The average age at first infirmity can be raised, thereby making the morbidity curve more rectangular, and present data allow calculation of the ideal average life span, approximately 85 years.
New England Journal of MedicineTrends in Medicare Payments in the Last Year of Life
717 Citations1993James Lubitz, Gerald F. Riley
There is no evidence that persons in the last year of life account for a larger share of Medicare expenditures than in earlier years, and the same forces that have acted to increase overall Medicare expenditures have affected care for both decedents and survivors.
ScienceIn Search of Methuselah: Estimating the Upper Limits to Human Longevity
628 Citations1990S. Jay Olshansky, Bruce A. Carnes +1 more
Results indicate that in order for life expectancy at birth to increase from present levels to what has been referred to as the average biological limit to life (age 85), mortality rates from all causes of death would need to decline at all ages by 55%, and at ages 50 and over by 60%.
New England Journal of MedicineLifetime Use of Nursing Home Care
421 Citations1991Peter Kemper, Christopher M. Murtaugh
Population and Development ReviewLimits to Human Life Expectancy: Evidence, Prospects, and Implications
203 Citations1991Kenneth G. Mantón, Eric Stallard +1 more
The investigation emphasizes the need to use information on individual physiological processes and health changes prior to death in addition to mortality or endpoint data in making estimates, and suggests that limits to human life expectancy may be higher than estimates obtained by extrapolating human mortality trends which necessarily are dependent on historical conditions.
Milbank QuarterlyHealth Care Utilization in the Years Prior to Death
151 Citations1987Noralou P. Roos, Patrick R. Montgomery +1 more
Unique data from a large sample of 4,263 decedents aged 45 years and over in Manitoba, Canada, describe actual utilization in the four years prior to death: all hospitalizations, nursing home stays, and ambulatory physician contacts.
PubMedHealth expenditures by age group, 1977 and 1987.
150 Citations1989Waldo Dr, Sonnefeld St +2 more
The current and future composition of the population and effects on health care spending are examined, and the consumption patterns of each group are discussed.
PubMedNational health expenditures, 1991.
103 Citations1992Suzanne W. Letsch, Helen C. Lazenby +2 more
The health care sector exhibited strong growth, despite slow growth in the overall economy, which resulted in the largest increase in the share of the Nation's output consumed by health care in the past three decades.
The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly Health and Society"Though Much Is Taken": Reflections on Aging, Health, and Medical Care
84 Citations1984Victor R. Fuchs
Health AffairsA Longitudinal Perspective on Patterns of Medicare Payments
34 Citations1993Marian E. Gornick, A McMillan +1 more
A sixteen-year longitudinal study examines three age cohorts of beneficiaries, looking separately at beneficiaries who died during the study period and those who survived, showing a leveling of spending over time, resulting in a lower concentration of health care resources on a small fraction of the population.
Changing mortality patterns health services utilization and health care expenditures: United States 1978-2003
8 Citations1983Rice Dp, Rosenberg Hm +2 more
The projected effect of changes in mortality patterns on the future [U.S.] population size and population age distribution is examined and the potential effects of an aging population on health care use and expenditures are examined.
PubMedOutput and inflation components of medical care and other spending changes.
6 Citations1991Edgar A. Peden, Marcia Lee
Personal consumption of medical care experienced both output and price average growth rates strikingly above economywide norms, and the output growth rate in this sector rivaled growth in several goods sectors with greatly expanded supplies.