Commentary: Extensional Versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment
Frontiers in PsychologyPublished 25 November 2015Open access
Peter Lewinski
Citations91
SJR quartileQ2
SJR score0.87
SNIP1.21
Generate an AI Snapshot to get a quick, structured summary of this paper.
Study Snapshot
ObjectiveStudy objective
MethodsResearch methodology
PopulationPopulation studied
Sample sizeSample sizes
OutcomesStudy outcomes here
ResultsStudy results comes here
LimitationsResearch study limitations comes here
A concise AI-generated summary of the paper will appear here once you click Generate AI Snapshot.
TL;DR
This commentary provides possible alternative accounts of the conjunction fallacy in the Linda problem in light of bounded rationality theory and “nudging” (or “libertarian paternalism,” Gigerenzer, 2015) and generates novel hypotheses in the domain of experimental psychology.
Keywords
PsychologyDecision SciencesNeuroscience
Psychological ReviewExtensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.
3,902 Citations1983Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman
Journal of Behavioral Decision MakingThe ‘conjunction fallacy’ revisited: how intelligent inferences look like reasoning errors
452 Citations1999Ralph Hertwig, Gerd Gigerenzer
Journal of Neuroscience Psychology and EconomicsAutomated facial coding: Validation of basic emotions and FACS AUs in FaceReader.
386 Citations2014Peter Lewinski, Tim M. den Uyl +1 more
FaceReader has proven to be a reliable indicator of basic emotions in the past decade and has a potential to become similarly robust with FACS, according to the results of this validation test.
Review of Philosophy and PsychologyOn the Supposed Evidence for Libertarian Paternalism
262 Citations2015Gerd Gigerenzer
Frontiers in PsychologyAutomated facial coding software outperforms people in recognizing neutral faces as neutral from standardized datasets
80 Citations2015Peter Lewinski
This paper provides the first-ever evidence that computer software was more accurate in recognizing neutral faces than people were, and posited two theoretical mechanisms, i.e., smile-as-a-baseline and false recognition of emotion, as possible explanations for my findings.
BMC Public HealthUnder consumers’ scrutiny - an investigation into consumers’ attitudes and concerns about nudging in the realm of health behavior
74 Citations2015Astrid F. Junghans, Tracy Cheung +1 more
Examination of consumers’ knowledge of and attitudes toward nudging in general and the realm of health behavior encourages the implementation of nudges benefitting individuals and society in domains that consumers comprehend, such as health behaviors.
SyntheseOn the nature of the conjunction fallacy
72 Citations2008Rodrigo Moro
The goal of this paper is to explore the most important of these controversies, namely, the controversy about the nature of the conjunction fallacy.
Frontiers in PsychologyEffects of classrooms’ architecture on academic performance in view of telic versus paratelic motivation: a review
59 Citations2015Peter Lewinski
It appears the most influential factors affecting the learning process are noise, temperature and seat arrangement, and there is no current agreement on how some particular physical characteristics of classrooms affect learning outcomes.
Mind & LanguageA Different Conjunction Fallacy
51 Citations2004Nicolao Bonini, Katya Tentori +1 more
The findings appear to discredit the idea that most people spontaneously integrate the logic of conjunction into their assessments of chance, and instead encourage genuinely conjunctive reading of p-and-q.
CognitionOn the conjunction fallacy and the meaning of and, yet again: A reply to
32 Citations2011Katya Tentori, Vincenzo Crupi
This paper questions the theoretical tenability of Hertwig, Benz, and Krauss's (2008) argument that responses commonly taken as manifestations of the conjunction fallacy should be instead considered as reflecting "reasonable pragmatic and semantic inferences" because the meaning of and does not always coincide with that of the logical operator ∧.
Judgment and Decision MakingHow bookies make your money
32 Citations2015Philip Newall
UK bookies herd geographically in less-affluent areas and herd with the special bets that they advertise to consumers, both in their shop window advertising and on TV adverts as shown to millions of viewers, an observational study of betting adverts over the 2014 soccer World Cup.
Journal of Economic PsychologyMaking the seemingly impossible appear possible: Effects of conjunction fallacies in evaluations of bets on football games
29 Citations2009Håkan Nilsson, Patric Andersson