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Forecasting tourism demand; Some methodological issues

The Annals of Regional SciencePublished 1 July 1981
Edwin T. Fujii, James Mak
Citations57
SJR quartileQ1
SJR score0.69
SNIP1.02

Abstract

This paper investigates methodological issues in forecasting tourism demand. We demonstrate that the employment of extended Box-Cox autoregressive tests for functional form and ridge regression to control for substantial and changing patterns of collinearity among the explanatory variables substantially increases forecast precision relative to extensively used OLS techniques.

Keywords

Social SciencesEconomics, Econometrics and Finance