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Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities

TestPublished 1 June 1996
Robert L. Winkler, Javier A. V. Muñoz, José Cervera, José M. Bernardo, Gail Blattenberger, Joseph B. Kadane
Citations233
SJR quartileQ2
SJR score0.51
SNIP1.44

TL;DR

Scoring rules and some related measures for evaluating probabilities are reviewed, including decompositions of scoring rules and attributes of “goodness” of probabilites, comparability of scores, and the design of scoring Rules for specific inferential and decision-making problems are reviewed.

Abstract

Attributes of “Good” probabilities, Decomposition of expected Scores, Evaluation of Probabilities, Probability Assessment, Probability Forecasts, Scoring Rules,

Keywords

Computer ScienceDecision Sciences