Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.
Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Perception & PerformancePublished 1 January 1981
Jay Christensen-Szalanski, James B. Bushyhead
Citations343
SJR quartileQ1
SJR score1.20
SNIP1.22
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TL;DR
Physicians overestimated the patients' probability of pneumonia but were sensitive to relative differences in the predictive value of symptoms when present and absent, and appeared to use base-rate information correctly when making clinical judgments.
Abstract
This study reports on physicians' processing of probabilistic information while they were treating possible pneumonia patients at an outpatient clinic. Physicians overestimated the patients' probability of pneumonia but were sensitive to relative differences in the predictive value of symptoms when present and absent, and appeared to use base-rate information correctly when making clinical judgments.
Keywords
Decision SciencesMathematicsMedicine
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