The Future Of The Nurse Shortage: Will Wage Increases Close The Gap?
Health AffairsPublished 1 November 2003
Joanne Spetz, Ruth S. Given
Citations81
SJR quartileQ1
SJR score4.46
SNIP3.04
Generate an AI Snapshot to get a quick, structured summary of this paper.
Study Snapshot
ObjectiveStudy objective
MethodsResearch methodology
PopulationPopulation studied
Sample sizeSample sizes
OutcomesStudy outcomes here
ResultsStudy results comes here
LimitationsResearch study limitations comes here
A concise AI-generated summary of the paper will appear here once you click Generate AI Snapshot.
TL;DR
It is found that inflation-adjusted wages must increase 3.2-3.8 percent per year between 2002 and 2016, with wages cumulatively rising up to 69 percent, to end the RN shortage.
Abstract
In recent years the U.S. media have been reporting a shortage of registered nurses (RNs). In theory, labor-market shortages are self-correcting; wage increases will bring labor markets into equilibrium, and policy intervention is not necessary. In this paper we develop a simple forecasting model and ask the question: How high must RN wages rise in the future to end the RN shortage? We find that inflation-adjusted wages must increase 3.2-3.8 percent per year between 2002 and 2016, with wages cumulatively rising up to 69 percent, to end the shortage. Total RN expenditures would more than double by 2016.
Keywords
Health ProfessionsNursing
JAMAHospital Nurse Staffing and Patient Mortality, Nurse Burnout, and Job Dissatisfaction
5,188 Citations2002Linda H. Aiken
In hospitals with high patient-to-nurse ratios, surgical patients experience higher risk-adjusted 30-day mortality and failure-to-rescue rates, and nurses are more likely to experience burnout and job dissatisfaction.
Nursing OutlookHospital staffing, organization, and quality of care: Cross-national findings
448 Citations2002Linda H. Aiken, Sean P. Clarke +1 more
Adequate nurse staffing and organizational/managerial support for nursing are key to improving the quality of patient care, to diminishing nurse job dissatisfaction and burnout and, ultimately, to improvingThe nurse retention problem in hospital settings.
Nursing OutlookThe shortage of doctorally prepared nursing faculty: A dire situation
165 Citations2002Linda E. Berlin, Karen R. Sechrist
The impact of faculty age and retirement timelines on the future availability of doctorally prepared nursing faculty showed steadily increasing faculty age, a shortening of time to likely retirement, and a loss of younger faculty.
International Journal of Medical InformaticsEnabling technologies promise to revitalize the role of nursing in an era of patient safety
92 Citations2003Marion J. Ball, Charlotte A. Weaver +1 more
It is expected that the creation of an electronic work environment with systems that integrate all functions of the health care team will positively impact cost-effectiveness, productivity, and patient safety while helping to revitalize nursing practice.
Oxford Economic PapersParticipation in further education in England and Wales: an analysis of post-war trends
68 Citations2001Duncan McVicar
PubMedThe effects of managed care and prospective payment on the demand for hospital nurses: evidence from California.
50 Citations1999Joanne Spetz
Managed care has a smaller effect on nurse staffing in medical-surgical units than in daily service units as a whole and the prospective payment system does not have a statistically significant effect on nursing employment.
JONA The Journal of Nursing AdministrationAcute Care Hospital Survey of RN Vacancy and Turnover Rates in 2000
49 Citations2002The HSM Group, Ltd.
Medical Care Research and ReviewMeasuring Shortages of Hospital Nurses: How do you Know a Hospital with a Nursing Shortage When you See One?
45 Citations2001Kevin Grumbach, Michael Ash +3 more
Different methods of identifying hospitals and regions with a shortage of registered nurses are compared, including both relatively subjective measures and more objective measures, and associations are found.
Image the Journal of Nursing ScholarshipMaintaining an Adequate Supply of RNs in California
32 Citations1999Janet M. Coffman, Joanne Spetz
Whether California faces a shortage of RNs and whether greater state government funding of RN educational programs is necessary to alleviate such a shortage is ascertained.
Image the Journal of Nursing ScholarshipUse of Immigration Policy to Manage Nursing Shortages
28 Citations1998Eleanor E. Glaessel‐Brown
Examination of long-term implications of using temporary, nonimmigrant nurse programs to manage fluctuations in the demand for registered nurses finds that there may be a disparity between the ideal of nurse migration as collaborative exchange and the reality of institutionalized occupational migration networks.
Research in Nursing & HealthThe roller coaster supply of registered nurses: Lessons from the eighties
24 Citations1996Carol S. Brewer
If wage growth is slow relative to other occupations due to a decreased demand for nurses, registered nurses will in turn reduce their supply of labor more than previous research has indicated.