Usage history of scientific literature: Nature metrics and metrics of Nature publications
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Abstract
In this study, we analyze the dynamic usage history of Nature publications\nover time using Nature metrics data. We conduct analysis from two perspectives.\nOn the one hand, we examine how long it takes before the articles' downloads\nreach 50%/80% of the total; on the other hand, we compare the percentage of\ntotal downloads in 7 days, 30 days, and 100 days after publication. In general,\npapers are downloaded most frequently within a short time period right after\ntheir publication. And we find that compared with Non-Open Access papers,\nreaders' attention on Open Access publications are more enduring. Based on the\nusage data of a newly published paper, regression analysis could predict the\nfuture expected total usage counts.\n
