Election Forecasts with Twitter - How 140 Characters Reflect the Political Landscape
SSRN Electronic JournalPublished 1 January 2011Open access
Andranik Tumasjan, Timm O. Sprenger, Philipp Sandner, Isabell M. Welpe
Citations93
Generate an AI Snapshot to get a quick, structured summary of this paper.
Study Snapshot
ObjectiveStudy objective
MethodsResearch methodology
PopulationPopulation studied
Sample sizeSample sizes
OutcomesStudy outcomes here
ResultsStudy results comes here
LimitationsResearch study limitations comes here
A concise AI-generated summary of the paper will appear here once you click Generate AI Snapshot.
Abstract
Download This Paper Open PDF in Browser Add Paper to My Library Share: Permalink Using these links will ensure access to this page indefinitely Copy URL Copy DOI
Keywords
Social SciencesComputer SciencePhysics and Astronomy
Review of General PsychologyBad is Stronger than Good
7,354 Citations2001Roy F. Baumeister, Ellen Bratslavsky +2 more
now publishers, Inc. eBooksOpinion Mining and Sentiment Analysis
6,745 Citations2008Bo Pang, Lillian Lee
Foundations and Trends® in Information RetrievalOpinion Mining and Sentiment Analysis
6,204 Citations2008Bo Pang, Lillian Lee
This survey covers techniques and approaches that promise to directly enable opinion-oriented information-seeking systems and focuses on methods that seek to address the new challenges raised by sentiment-aware applications, as compared to those that are already present in more traditional fact-based analysis.
Journal of Language and Social PsychologyThe Psychological Meaning of Words: LIWC and Computerized Text Analysis Methods
5,776 Citations2009Yla Tausczik, James W. Pennebaker
Empirical results using LIWC demonstrate its ability to detect meaning in a wide variety of experimental settings, including to show attentional focus, emotionality, social relationships, thinking styles, and individual differences.
Choice Reviews OnlineThe wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations
2,982 Citations2004
The political blogosphere and the 2004 U.S. election
2,605 Citations2005Lada A. Adamic, Natalie Glance
Differences in the behavior of liberal and conservative blogs are found, with conservative blogs linking to each other more frequently and in a denser pattern.
Predicting the Future with Social Media
2,064 Citations2010Sitaram Asur, Bernardo A. Huberman
Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social MediaFrom Tweets to Polls: Linking Text Sentiment to Public Opinion Time Series
1,955 Citations2010Brendan O’Connor, Ramnath Balasubramanyan +2 more
This work connects measures of public opinion measured from polls with sentiment measured from text, and finds that temporal smoothing is a critically important issue to support a suc- cessful model.
The Journal of Economic PerspectivesLearning from the Behavior of Others: Conformity, Fads, and Informational Cascades
1,946 Citations1998Sushil Bikhchandani, David Hirshleifer +1 more
Texas ScholarWorks (Texas Digital Library)The Development and Psychometric Properties of LIWC2015
1,678 Citations2015James W. Pennebaker, Cindy K. Chung +2 more
Journal of the American Society for Information Science and TechnologyTwitter power: Tweets as electronic word of mouth
1,644 Citations2009Bernard J. Jansen, Mimi Zhang +2 more
Annual Review of Political SciencePUBLIC DELIBERATION, DISCURSIVE PARTICIPATION, AND CITIZEN ENGAGEMENT: A Review of the Empirical Literature
1,424 Citations2004Michael X. Delli Carpini, Fay Lomax Cook +1 more
Beyond Microblogging: Conversation and Collaboration via Twitter
956 Citations2009C. Honey, Susan C. Herring
A corpus of naturally-occurring public Twitter messages reveals a surprising degree of conversationality, facilitated especially by the use of @ as a marker of addressivity, and shed light on the limitations of Twitter's current design for collaborative use.
Cambridge University Press eBooksThe use of knowledge in society
599 Citations2009Friedrich A. von Hayek
Cambridge University Press eBooksAnalytical Politics
499 Citations1997Melvin J. Hinich, Michael C. Munger
Journal of Economic TheoryProblem Solving by Heterogeneous Agents
462 Citations2001Lu Hong, Scott E. Page
This paper constructs a model of heterogeneous agents of bounded abilities and analyzes their individual and collective performance, finding that while a collection of bounded but diverse agents can locate optimal solutions to difficult problems, problem solving firms can exhibit arbitrary marginal returns to problem solvers.
Journal of Economic Behavior & OrganizationWishes, expectations and actions: a survey on price formation in election stock markets
290 Citations1999Robert Forsythe, Thomas A. Rietz +1 more
Social Science Computer ReviewVoters, MySpace, and YouTube
266 Citations2007Vassia Gueorguieva
YouTube and MySpace have posed a new set of challenges to campaign staff, the most important of which is the reduced level of control that campaigns have over the image and message of the candidate, which is of critical importance to election outcomes.
Handbook of experimental economics resultsChapter 80 Results from a Dozen Years of Election Futures Markets Research
155 Citations2008Joyce E. Berg, Robert Forsythe +2 more
What is a Social Network Worth? Facebook and Vote Share in the 2008 Presidential Primaries
101 Citations2009Christopher Williams, Girish “jeff Gulati
Social Science Computer ReviewPolitical Blogs and Blogrolls in Canada
69 Citations2009Royce Koop, Harold Jansen
Syracuse University Libraries (Syracuse University)Exploring the characteristics of opinion expressions for political opinion classification
58 Citations2008Bei Yu, Stefan Kaufmann +1 more
Results suggest that recognizing the sentiment is not enough for political opinion classification, and what seems to be needed is a more fine-grained model of individuals' ideological positions and the different ways in which those positions manifest themselves in political discourse.
Deep Blue (University of Michigan)Learning from the Behavior of Others: Conformity, Fads, and Informational Cascades
51 Citations2008Sushil Bikhchandani, David Hirshleifer +1 more
Canadian Journal of CommunicationPundits, Ideologues, and Ranters: The British Columbia Election Online
42 Citations2006Harold Jansen, Royce Koop
Journal de Mathématiques Pures et AppliquéesOn <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" altimg="si1.gif" overflow="scroll"><mml:mi mathvariant="double-struck">Q</mml:mi></mml:math>-factorial terminalizations of nilpotent orbits
21 Citations2009Baohua Fu
CASE Tool Integration and Standardization.
12 Citations1990Paul F. Zarrella
Computer Aided Software Engineering tool users are faced with the task of coordinating tools and data from a variety of sources spanning the entire software development life cycle, and formal efforts have done little to resolve the integration problems.
SSRN Electronic JournalMaximum Likelihood Estimation of a Poissonian Count Rate Function for the Followers of a Twitter Account Making Directional Forecasts of the Stock Market
6 Citations2009Graham L. Giller
A positive correlation between success and an increase in the number of followers is found, and the maximum likelihood ratio test is used to reject the null hypothesis with a confidence of better than 95%.
Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft mbH & Co. KG eBooksDie Regierungsbildung nach der Bundestagswahl 2009: Wie wahrscheinlich ist eine Neuauflage der Großen Koalition?
1 Citations2011Thomas Bräuninger, Marc Debus
